Polls for Hillary: According to realclearpolitics.com Hillary Clinton is the clear frontrunner for a variety of polls. These include: Quinnipiac, CNN, Rasmussen etc. The polls include voters from National, Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Democrats and Republicans. It includes potential candidates such as Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Sanders, O’Malley, and Webb.

2016 Democratic Presidential Nomination

National: Dem, GOP | Iowa: Dem, GOP | New Hampshire: Dem, GOP | South Carolina: Dem, GOP | General Election Match-Ups

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Biden	Warren	Sanders	Webb	O'Malley	Spread
RCP Average	1/18 - 3/2	--	56.8	12.8	12.4	3.8	1.8	1.2	Clinton +44.0
Quinnipiac	2/26 - 3/2	493 RV	56	10	14	4	1	0	Clinton +42
PPP (D)	2/20 - 2/22	310 RV	54	16	12	5	2	1	Clinton +38
CNN/Opinion Research	2/12 - 2/15	RV	60	15	12	3	2	1	Clinton +45
FOX News	1/25 - 1/27	390 RV	55	17	12	3	1	2	Clinton +38
Rasmussen Reports	1/18 - 1/19	648 LV	59	6	12	4	3	2	Clinton +47

All 2016 Democratic Presidential Nomination Polling Data

 

This tells an interesting story which is, first, Hillary is clearly a front-runner if she decides to run. Second because she is the front-runner she doesn’t have to jump into a decision to declare anytime soon. She can come in on her own terms. Thirdly, the polls only take into account certain candidates, some may run, some may not. It doesn’t account for a heavy hitter, out-of-the-blue candidate. Or for example if Biden doesn't run, where do his 15% of votes go? For Hillary, or against? Lastly this poll only compares Democrats to Democrats, it doesn’t compare the larger question: How will the Democrat (Hillary) be able to fare against the Republican candidate—whoever it is?

Being that the Iowa Caucus is so far away, and the general election even further than that there isn’t much we can take away from these polls at this time. However it does give you a little bit of peace of mind if you’re part of Hillary’s camp. You’d certainly rather be up by 44% than down by 44%, even if it is extremely far out. If you’re a Clintonian you’ll take this as a good sign and drive on for now. You’ll feel a lot better about these numbers deeper into Iowa, and even later including the general when the picture becomes more clear.  

Because this real politics poll is a variety of different polls from different states and different party affiliations, it makes you feel good about the numbers. Single polls can be very skewed/untrustworthy, especially when there are so many variables involved, and this far out. This shows a trend, and trends are trustworthy for the most part. Regardless of what happens I believe she will be in it at the very end of the primary. Being able to say that this far out is great for a candidate. She really has the luxury that none of the other Democrats are able to have right now. It will help her raise funds--the lifeblood of a campaign.

Sources:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html